Japanese shares tumbled, sending Nikkei 225 Average down by nearly 9%
Posted by Iflove Featured Stories on October 15, 2008 at 10:44 pmJapanese shares tumbled Thursday, sending the Nikkei 225 Average down by nearly 9% in the afternoon as investors sold off equities, fearing the impact of a U.S. recession and a slowing global economy.
Nikkei down nearly 9% as recession fears kick in: News from HONG KONG - Japanese shares tumbled, sending Nikkei 225 Average down by nearly 9%. The Nikkei 225 Average dropped as much as 10.3% in mid-morning Tokyo trading, before recovering, as shares across the board were slammed after Wall Street stocks dived overnight. The benchmark was recently down 8.9% at 8,699.69, while the broader Topix index shed 7% to 888.50.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index dropped 7.6% to 14,787.35, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index lost 9.7% to 7,127.98. On mainland China, the Shanghai Composite declined 4% to 1,915.73.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index lost 6.3% to 4,027.70, with shares of resources giant Rio Tinto tumbled more than 14% in Sydney on concerns global demand for commodities was weakening.
“Certainly, the outlook is for a global recession, but you could argue that the markets’ pricing last week already reflected that,” said David Cohen, director of Asian economic forecasting at Action Economics in Singapore. “There is no reason why the world economy has to melt down. There are still some stabilizing influences, including the lowering of oil prices.”
Elsewhere, New Zealand’s NZX 50 index gave up 4.7% to 2,767.44, South Korea’s Kospi slumped 6.7% to 1,250.05, Singapore’s Straits Times index lost 6.4% to 1,928.56 and Taiwan’s Taiex shed 3.1% to 5,081.90.
Chart of JP:1804610
Cohen added it “wouldn’t be surprising” if governments in Asia decided to increase spending or introduce other stimulus measures such as tax cuts to support their slowing economies.
“I think the Asian economies are less vulnerable to financial instabilities now than they were 10 years ago,” said Cohen. With a few countries in the region running current account surpluses and accumulating international reserves, “Asia has a little more flexibility and they don’t have to fear that their financial position will crumble,” he added.
Regional detail
Shares of Rio Tinto (RTP:
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Last: 154.27-39.72-20.48%
4:02pm 10/15/2008
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RTP 154.27, -39.72, -20.5%) (AU:RIO: news, chart, profile) tumbled 14.2% in Sydney a day after the resources giant said the global financial crisis will force it to delay a planned sale of $10 billion of assets. The company added that China wasn’t immune to the global downturn and it may freeze capital expenditure as it reassesses commodity demand amid a looming global slowdown. See full story
Shares of regional exporters tumbled on worries about slowing global demand, with Honda Motor Co. (HMC:
Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
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Last: 20.57-3.28-13.75%
4:05pm 10/15/2008
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HMC 20.57, -3.28, -13.7%) (JP:7267: news, chart, profile) shedding 7.9% and Sony Corp. (SNE:
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Last: 23.43-2.77-10.57%
4:02pm 10/15/2008
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SNE 23.43, -2.77, -10.6%) (JP:6758: news, chart, profile) losing 9.4% in Tokyo, while Hyundai Motor Co. (HYMLF:
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Last: 57.88+2.74+4.96%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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HYMLF 57.88, +2.74, +5.0%) lost 10% in Seoul.
Shares of Mazda Motor Corp. (JP:7261: news, chart, profile) (MZDAF:
mazda motor corp shs
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Last: 2.70-0.25-8.47%
8:10pm 10/09/2008
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MZDAF 2.70, -0.25, -8.5%) fell 4.2%, on top of their 9.2% decline Wednesday, after the Nikkei business daily reported that U.S. automaker Ford Motor Co. (F:
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Last: 2.30-0.14-5.74%
4:02pm 10/15/2008
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F 2.30, -0.14, -5.7%) has asked Denso Corp. (JP:6902: news, chart, profile) (DNZOF:
denso corp ord
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Last: 20.21+2.65+15.10%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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DNZOF 20.21, +2.65, +15.1%) to purchase a part of its 33.4% stake in Mazda. The report added that Denso, which wants to expand business with Mazda, is likely to consider purchasing some of the stake.
Steelmakers and shipping stocks also dropped sharply on worries about global demand, with JFE Holdings Inc. (JP:5411: news, chart, profile) (JFEEF:
jfe holdings inc tokyo shs
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Last: 24.61+3.57+16.99%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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JFEEF 24.61, +3.57, +17.0%) shrinking 12.9% in Tokyo and Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (JP:9104: news, chart, profile) (MSLOF:
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Last: 6.57+0.85+14.79%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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MSLOF 6.57, +0.85, +14.8%) losing 13.4% in Tokyo. In Seoul, Posco (PKX:
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Last: 60.79-16.20-21.04%
4:02pm 10/15/2008
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PKX 60.79, -16.20, -21.0%) gave up 12%, while STX Pan Ocean Co. (SPNOF:
SPNOF
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SPNOF, , ) fell 11.2%. In Shanghai, shares of Baoshan Iron & Steel dropped 2.5%, while China Cosco Holdings Co. (CICOF:
china cosco hldgs co ltd shs h
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Last: 0.690.000.00%
8:10pm 10/15/2008
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CICOF 0.69, 0.00, 0.0%) shed 8%.
In the financial sector, Mizuho Financial Group (JP:8411: news, chart, profile) (MFG:
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Last: 7.15-0.21-2.85%
4:05pm 10/15/2008
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MFG 7.15, -0.21, -2.8%) lost 11.7% and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFJY:
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Last: 6.20+0.49+8.58%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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SMFJY 6.20, +0.49, +8.6%) (JP:8316: news, chart, profile) slumped 12.9% in Tokyo, while Macquarie Group (AU:MQG: news, chart, profile) (MQBKY:
macquarie group limited adr
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Last: 23.50+1.65+7.55%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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MQBKY 23.50, +1.65, +7.6%) lost 8% in Sydney. In Seoul, shares of Industrial Bank of Korea shed 14.9%, market heavyweight HSBC Holdings (HK:5: news, chart, profile) (HBC:
HSBC Hldgs Plc
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Last: 69.99-5.39-7.15%
4:05pm 10/15/2008
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HBC 69.99, -5.39, -7.1%) lost 3.9% in Hong Kong and DBS Group Holdings (DBSDY:
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Last: 37.15-4.35-10.48%
12:00am 10/15/2008
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DBSDY 37.15, -4.35, -10.5%) fell 5.5% in Singapore.
Shares of Citigroup Inc. (C:
Citigroup, Inc
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Last: 16.02-2.60-13.96%
4:00pm 10/15/2008
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C 16.02, -2.60, -14.0%) (JP:8710: news, chart, profile) lost 10.7% in Tokyo after the Nikkei business daily reported the banking giant is considering delaying the merger of its retail brokerage firm Nikko Cordial Securities Inc. with its corporate securities business Nikko Citigroup.
Energy-related stocks tumbled after November crude-oil futures fell as much as $4.09 to $74.54 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange overnight, ending at their weakest level in more than a year. The front-month contract recently dropped as much as $1.21 to $73.33 a barrel in electronic trading.
Shares of BHP Billiton (BHP:
BHP Billiton Ltd
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Last: 35.17-7.28-17.15%
4:00pm 10/15/2008
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BHP 35.17, -7.28, -17.1%) (AU:BHP: news, chart, profile) gave up 13% and Woodside Petroleum lost (WOPEY:
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Last: 27.25+1.95+7.71%
12:00am 10/14/2008
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WOPEY 27.25, +1.95, +7.7%) (AU:WPL: news, chart, profile) 3.1% in Sydney. Commodity trader Mitsubishi Corp. (JP:8058: news, chart, profile) (MSBHY:
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Last: 34.95-0.30-0.85%
12:00am 10/15/2008
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MSBHY 34.95, -0.30, -0.8%) declined 14.7% in Tokyo, while shares of Cnooc (HK:883: news, chart, profile) (CEO:
CNOOC, Ltd.
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Last: 76.10-14.15-15.68%
4:03pm 10/15/2008
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CEO 76.10, -14.15, -15.7%) sank 12.8% in Hong Kong.
The drop in Woodside shares came although the company announced an 84% jump in third-quarter revenue on increased production and higher oil prices.
In Asian currency trading, the U.S. dollar bought 99.79 yen, compared with 101.34 yen late Wednesday.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU:
Dow Jones Industrial Average
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Last: 8,577.91-733.08-7.87%
4:04pm 10/15/2008
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$INDU 8,577.91, -733.08, -7.9%) tumbled 7.9% to 8,577.91 and the S&P 500 index ($SPX:
S&P 500 Index
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Last: 907.84-90.17-9.03%
4:59pm 10/15/2008
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$SPX 907.84, -90.17, -9.0%) skidded 9% at 907.84, while the Nasdaq Composite ($COMPX:
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Last: 1,628.33-150.68-8.47%
5:16pm 10/15/2008
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$COMPX 1,628.33, -150.68, -8.5%) shrank 8.5% to 1,628.33. End of Story
one thing that keeps rattling around in this old head is 2000 and the recession followed by DOW 14,000 and 1929
Totally different in so many ways but, why?
Because in 1929 they let things go too long before “stimulating” with war and money supply. We had both a rising money supply and war spending that kept the “crash of 2000-2001″ from playing out. We had a new Bear Market but, most didn’t think it was because of DOW 14,000. What they didn’t factor was that all that war spending and money supply was creating inflation of the prices of the stocks.
When adjusted for real value, it was just a rally that never reached the old high. While spread over years, it was a similar, but extended pattern of 1929.
That crash had a huge drop like we saw when the tech bubble burst and then a huge rally regaining over 50% of the loss. The 2000’s rally did even better but still not back to the old high.
Then in 1929, the rally failed and down and down and down the market went until it was down almost 90% from the peak.
We are pumping money again. Thus, instead of 90% down, I think we will not drop anywhere near that in price, but may in value eventually. Always keep that “Dogs of the Dow” chart in mind and what it looks like when you adjust for inflation.
It isn’t how far the DOW or S&P drop but how much buying power we lose.
quote:
On Monday, I said that the total cost of this bailout could scale up to $3 trillion — I just didn’t imagine it would happen by Wednesday.
We learned yesterday that the size of the bailout just tripled, from $750b to $3T. Here is the cost structure:Higher prices will hit at some point, but maybe not right away because most of that money is going into an almost bottomless hole. It is restoring “paper losses” that until they are restored isn’t really adding “real money” into the global economy.
But, because a lot of those mortgages (some say 95%) are still being paid, once a recovery starts, there will be alot of money to toss around due to how fractional banking works. I don’t know if it will be soon or not til next year or later but, that money will come back to haunt us if we don’t get cut off from our foreign lenders before then.
Are you saying we are in the late 1930s at this point?
No, early thirties if we are going to have a depression. It will last for many years if that is the case.
The problem is that we are not waiting as long as they did then and that will change the “price” but probably not the value of the markets. We will have high inflation in a year or so or, we will be cut off from foreign loans (another thing that is different) and go into hyper-inflation as the government has to print the money for all social spending instead of borrow it.
Social Security checks will double every month or so as Congress has emergency increase after increase that totally wipes out the trillions in the trust fund in a a year or less. Seniors getting $10,000 or $20,000 checks but not lasting a month.
We will still be in a depression but, it won’t be anything like the 30’s if we don’t keep this at a recession level. With debt rising hundreds of billions a month, that can’t last for too long with out our being cut off.
This rapid rise in debt has to cool soon or we will be in deeper trouble faster than most realize. We have increased debt $300 billion in 1/2 a month. it took a year to increase it a trillion this last year. I know it won’t keep up at this rate but think about it. $600 billion a month at this rate or $7.2 trillion more debt in a year.
So, we better hope they run out of “need” for fed funds pretty soon. Higher. Mortgage interest rates should ALWAYS BE AROUND 7% on a fixed 30 year loan, and savers should ALWAYS BE PAID AROUND 5.25% to 5.50% on standard savings accounts. It worked this way almost perfectly for around 5 decades from the 1930s into the 1980s. Variable interest rates are a bad thing in general. Regulation Q of the Glass Steagall Act fixed interest rates that banks and thrifts had to pay savers and this created a very stable and huge base for deposits with predictable returns with no risk.
The next 15 days should be interesting:
The most famous crash happened on October 29, 1929.
The crash on October 19, 1987, a date that is also known as Black Monday, was the climactic culmination of a market decline that had begun five days before on October 14th.
Tomorrow is Wednesday October 16th, 2008
Roughly 21 years since the last crash if we hold our financial disaster tradition.
Do the crashes come more frequently with rising inflation?
The Drudge poll is showing McCain as winning with 74%, Obama with 24%, and neither at 1%. The AOL poll is showing both dead even with 47% and neither winning with 6%. In my opinion, both are so disgusting and awful that it’s not even worth the bother to try to rate them. JUST SAY NO!
“U.S. Stocks Drop Most Since Crash of 1987 on Recession Concerns” By Lynn Thomasson
“Oct. 15 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks plunged the most since the crash of 1987, hammered by the biggest drop in retail sales in three years and growing doubt that plans to bail out banks will keep the economic slump from deepening.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index sank 90.17 points, or 9 percent, to 907.84, with nine companies declining more than 20 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated 733.08, or 7.9 percent, to 8,577.91, its second-biggest point drop ever. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 150.68, or 8.5 percent, to 1,628.33. About 37 stocks fell for each that rose on the New York Stock Exchange.
“It’s absolutely trading on fear right now and uncertainty, because nobody knows yet how bad the economy is going to get,” said John Wilson, the co-director of equity strategy at Memphis, Tennessee-based Morgan Keegan, which manages $120 billion.
All 10 S&P 500 industries fell more than 6 percent today. About $1.1 trillion in value was erased from all U.S. equities. The declines came after the drop in retail sales was almost twice economists’ estimates, sending Macy’s Inc. and Dillard’s Inc. down more than 15 percent. The Federal Reserve’s index of New York manufacturing slumped to minus-24.6, a record low.”
Japanese shares tumbled, sending Nikkei 225 Average down by nearly 9%. News from HONG KONG - Japanese shares tumbled Thursday, sending the Nikkei 225 Average down by nearly 9% in the afternoon as investors sold off equities, fearing the impact of a U.S. recession and a slowing global economy.
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